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AI 淘金热中的投资光谱

AI 投资的真正高 ROI 不在资产价格,而在能否成为"卖铲子的人"或"用铲子挖到金子的人"——前者靠基础设施获利,后者靠 AI 使用带来的真实收益增长。
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2026-03-14 原文链接 ↗
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核心观点

  • "卖铲子"逻辑的确定性 在技术标准未统一的早期,投资基础设施(算力、芯片、能源、原材料)比押注单一应用更稳健,因为无论哪家 AI 公司胜出,都需要这些工具——但这不意味着当前估值合理,NVIDIA 1300% 涨幅可能已透支未来增长。
  • 二阶受益者才是真正的财富集中地 卖铲子公司在"AI 被建设时"获胜,二阶受益者在"AI 被使用时"获胜——后者是那些因为 AI 落地而显著降本增效、获得真实 ROI 的传统行业和企业,这波红利会更大更久。
  • 个人技能投资的非对称杠杆 投资 1 万美元到 AI 技能培养,潜在回报可能是 5-10 倍(年赚 5-10 万),而且下行风险为零(技能不会归零),这对普通人是比金融资产更确定的财富跃迁路径。
  • "AI 投资光谱"比"赛道分类"更有决策力 不要问"这是不是 AI 股",而要问"这家公司赚钱是因为 AI 被建设还是被使用"——同一家公司可能既卖铲子又吃二阶红利,需要在光谱上精确定位。
  • 高风险资产的真实失败率被严重低估 文章承认加密、初创、VC"可能 10 倍也可能归零",但没有给出实际失败率、信息不对称程度、流动性风险等关键数据,容易让读者误判为"合理控制仓位就能博非对称收益"。

跟我们的关联

  • 对 ATou 意味着什么 如果你在科技/互联网行业,现在最高 ROI 的投资是让自己成为"AI 时代的超级个体"——掌握 AI 工具、理解行业应用、能把技能打包成服务,这比买几只 AI ETF 的回报率高 10 倍。下一步:盘点你所在行业的"二阶受益点"(哪些流程能被 AI 降本增效),然后把自己定位成帮助企业实现这些转变的人。
  • 对 Neta 意味着什么 AI 创业不该死磕"卖铲子"(底层模型、通用工具),而要找"二阶受益者"的位置——选择一个垂直行业,用现成的 AI 基础设施重构其工作流,赚取真实 ROI 的钱。下一步:用"这家公司因为 AI 被建设还是被使用而赚钱"这个问题,重新审视你的产品定位。
  • 对 Uota 意味着什么 如果你在做投资决策,警惕"主题包装、实质普通"的 AI ETF——让 LLM 帮你筛基金时,必须加上"标记出那些打着 AI 噱头却缺乏真实 AI 收入敞口的标的"这个防伪指令。下一步:对任何标的问一个核心问题:这家公司的增长是来自"AI 建设"还是"AI 使用",估值是否已透支这部分增长。
  • 对通用人群意味着什么 别被"错过 AI 就会输"的 FOMO 吓到,也别只想着买 ETF 等升值。真正的机会在于:用 AI 工具提升自己的工作效率和议价权,这是任何行业、任何年龄都能做的,而且风险最低、回报最高。下一步:选一个你工作中最耗时的流程,用 AI 工具试着自动化它,然后把这个能力变成可售卖的服务或职业升级的筹码。

讨论引子

  • 如果 AI 真的如文章所言能替代大量工作,那么初级 AI 技能的供给会迅速过剩,其 ROI 会因竞争加剧而摊薄——作者为什么没有讨论这个风险?
  • "二阶受益者"这个概念听起来很对,但怎么在实际投资中识别一家公司是真的在吃 AI 红利,还是只是在财报里加了"AI"这个词来拉股价?
  • 文章用互联网、移动、加密作为历史类比,但这些时代都伴随过泡沫破裂和大量失败者——为什么 AI 就一定不会重演这个模式?

如果你没有主动思考该如何投资于人类迄今为止最伟大的技术进步,那么你注定会输。

大约每十年,世界都会迎来一次“淘金热”时刻。

90 年代的互联网从无到有地催生了谷歌、亚马逊、苹果这样的科技巨头,也悄悄把工程师、投资人和早期信徒变成了百万富翁。

2000 年代初的移动端普及推动了 Facebook 等社交平台崛起,进而催生了一个全新的数字营销经济。

2010 年代的加密货币创造了一个新的资产类别,也造就了一代年轻而富有的百万富翁。

每一次这样的时刻,都会把人分成两类:

  1. 那些提前看见趋势、迎来新一波财富的人

  2. 那些事后只剩下说:“我知道这件事。我只是从来没做过任何行动。”的人

如果在上述每一次时刻里你都属于后者,这真的无关紧要,因为此刻摆在你面前的东西,比它们加起来还要大。

AI 的淘金热已经开启,数万亿美元正在其中流动;这一点毋庸置疑。

真正的问题是——你打算怎么做?

在今天这篇文章里,我会分享我对普通人如何把握并投资这场 AI 淘金热的思考。

内容会很全面、很细致——你会想把它收藏起来,免得找不到。

开始前的重要说明请务必阅读

  • 我不是理财顾问,这里的一切内容仅用于教育目的。

  • 我会尽量避免列出具体公司以及具体股票/ETF 代码;不过,我可能会用公司来举例。请注意:如果我提到某家公司,我可能持有也可能不持有(例如,如果我说 NVIDIA 是“卖铲子”式投资的一个例子,我可能持有我提到的那家公司)

  • 我不是来带货或向你推销任何东西的,这里的一切仅代表我的个人观点。

本文最后一节会讲到一项不需要任何本金、却能带来本清单最高回报的投资——一定要看到最后。

卖铲子(Pick-and-Shovels)

在最初的淘金热里,真正赚得盆满钵满的不是矿工,而是那些向矿工出售镐子、铁锹和各种补给的人。

矿工承担了全部风险,而供货商不管谁真的挖到金子、谁发财、谁破产,都能获利。

同样的逻辑也适用于 AI。

所谓“卖铲子”公司,是指每当 AI 发展壮大就能赚钱的生意——不管最终是哪一个 AI 模型胜出、哪家创业公司成功、哪款产品爆发。

最明显的例子就是 NVIDIA。过去五年里,它的增长有多夸张大家都看得到(股价 +1300%)。

他们的胜利并不是因为 ChatGPT 在应用商店里成了排名第一的 AI。

他们之所以赢,是因为 OpenAI、Anthropic 以及数百家其他 AI 公司都需要他们的基础设施。

I want to build targeted ETF exposure to the AI investment opportunity. Here is my context:
Location and market: [your country]
Risk tolerance: [low / medium / high]
Investment horizon: [X years]
Monthly investment budget: [amount]
Current portfolio: [brief description — e.g. "mostly S&P 500 index funds"]
Based on this, recommend ETFs across these five categories:
1. Broad AI & Technology
2. Semiconductors & Chips
3. Robotics & Automation
4. Cybersecurity
5. Clean Energy & Grid Infrastructure
For each recommendation provide:
— Fund name and ticker
— Top 5 holdings
— Expense ratio
— Where it sits on the pick and shovel to second order spectrum
— Any overlap with other funds on this list
— A one sentence explanation of why it fits my specific situation
Flag any funds that are more marketing than substance — heavy on the AI buzzword but light on genuine AI revenue exposure. I want real exposure, not themed packaging.

换句话说,“卖铲子”公司不依赖于 结果成功率

我认为每个人都应该把研究重点放在这些“卖铲子”式的生意上。

你们很多人持有标普 500,如果是这样,你其实已经间接持有了不少“卖铲子”公司。

以下是一些值得研究的“卖铲子”行业:

另一个值得研究的“卖铲子”角度:原材料金属。

像铜、铝这样的金属,对于制造实体的 AI 基础设施至关重要。

二阶受益者

“卖铲子”投资是参与 AI 基础设施最直接的方式,但还有第二层机会,大多数人完全忽略了它。

二阶受益者是指那些不直接出售 AI 基础设施、但会随着 AI 渗透扩散、客户获得真实 ROI 而显著增长的公司。

关键区别在于时间点:

“卖铲子”公司在 AI 被搭建时获胜,而二阶受益者在 AI 被使用时获胜。

可以这样理解:当电力被发明时,最显而易见的“卖铲子”是发电公司和铜线制造商。

但真正的二阶赢家,是那些工厂、家电制造商、零售企业——它们突然能够以此前不可能的规模运转。

现在,你必须理解这一点。

“卖铲子”公司与二阶受益者之间可能会有重叠。

例如,像 Google 这样的公司,一方面依赖 Gemini AI 的采用来提升广告收入和云业务市占率;另一方面也在搭建其他人运行其上的底层 AI 基础设施。它既是工具供应商,也是下游受益者。

因此,不要把“卖铲子”和二阶受益者当作两个截然分开的“投资桶”,更应该把它看作一个光谱。

你只需要问自己一个问题:

“这家公司赚更多的钱,是因为 AI 正在被建设,还是因为 AI 正在被使用?”

值得进一步研究的二阶受益者赛道:

定向敞口

好,现在你已经理解了这两个投资桶,以及它们之间的 AI 光谱。

接下来,我会介绍一些更广泛的投资载体,让你能对这些行业获得更定向的敞口——比只买标普 500 更深入。

ETF

不是每个人都想选个股。老实说,大多数人也没必要。

ETF(交易型开放式指数基金)能让你在不必自己研究并挑选具体公司的情况下,分散地暴露在某个行业或板块上。

你买入一项资产,就能获得对整个行业内多家公司的敞口。

例如,一只机器人与自动化 ETF 可能会持有工业自动化、人形机器人以及 AI 驱动制造等领域的公司。

在不推荐具体代码的前提下,你可以把下面这段提示词丢给任何 LLM,让它帮你找你可能感兴趣的 ETF。

你只需要告诉它你所在的市场 [US/UK/AU/Other],再给出你想要配置 ETF 的行业清单(可以用我前面提到的那些)。

它会返回一份根据你情况定制的 ETF 候选清单。

我很喜欢把 Perplexity Finance 和 Claude(extended thinking)当作金融研究工具。

高风险敞口与非对称押注

到目前为止,我们讲的都处在 AI 投资光谱里相对更稳健的一端:ETF、“卖铲子”的蓝筹、二阶受益者——这些都是更克制、更分散的参与方式。

这一节不一样。

为避免误会,我这里说的“高风险敞口与非对称押注”,特指那种你的资金现实中可能 10 倍,也可能归零的投资载体。

当然,投资里没有什么是“安全”的,其他类别也完全可能涨 10 倍,或者跌到归零。

话虽如此,以下是四个值得理解的高风险类别:

  1. 加密 x AI

AI 与加密货币的融合速度比大多数人想象的更快。AI agent 代币、去中心化算力网络,以及专为 AI 工作负载构建的区块链基础设施项目,都是正在出现的新类别。

如果你关注我 @milesdeutscher,你就会知道过去两年我在这个赛道发过很多 thread。

一些值得研究的 Crypto x AI 方向:

2. 个股

挑选单个 AI 公司,尤其是那些不在巨头名单里的小市值标的,会带来很高的集中度风险。一份糟糕的财报、一次监管变化,或一个资金更充足的竞争对手,都可能让你的仓位被打穿。上行空间很直接,但你等于把筹码都压在一匹马上。

研究清楚,再据此行动。

3. 早期初创公司

这份清单里风险最高、潜在回报也最高的一类。AI 初创公司的融资速度,已经到了自互联网泡沫时代以来前所未见的程度。绝大多数会失败,只有极少数会成为下一个 NVIDIA 或 OpenAI。

如果你对这种下注风格感兴趣,你可以让 LLM 告诉你如何投资早期初创公司(很多平台都允许这样做)。

4. 风险投资基金

最后,如果你有资金并具备相应资质,聚焦 AI 的 VC 基金可以让你分散地暴露在一篮子早期押注上,同时由专业团队筛选项目——风险比你自己挑单个初创公司低,但仍显著高于任何 ETF 或公开市场投资。

最高 ROI 的投资:你的职业与技能

到目前为止讲的每一种投资类别都需要本金。

但这一项不需要。

当下对大多数人而言,回报率最高的一项投资,并不是股票、ETF 或加密代币。

而是决定去构建市场迫切愿意为之付费的 AI 技能。

我亲眼见过身边的人在不到 12 个月里,从普通薪资跃迁到六位数的自由职业收入,而你的收入本身就是最强大的财富增长工具。

而且和这份清单里的其他任何投资不同,它的下行空间是零:你不会失去你所建立的技能。

我会这样比较 ROI:

如果逻辑成立,向 AI ETF 投入 10,000 美元也许能带来每年 15%–20% 的回报,也就是第一年 1,500 到 2,000 美元。

而向 AI 教育、工具或导师投入 10,000 美元,如果你能把技能打包并正确地售卖,第一年完全可能带来 50,000 到 100,000 美元的回报。

“听起来很棒。但我到底要构建哪些技能?”

问得好——这正是我写这篇文章的原因:

要把握这场 AI 淘金热,你需要回答三个问题:

  1. 我能在我的 9-5 之外构建哪些由 AI 驱动的收入来源?(我在上面那篇 AI 技能文章里已经覆盖)

2. 我该如何在 AI 行业中定位自己——去接近正确的人、社区与人脉网络?(这也是我在这里 @aiedge_ 经常反复讲的)

3. 我该如何用 AI 让自己在当前岗位上成为最有价值、不可替代的人?(这正是我下周五那篇文章要讲的内容)

投资市场,但永远先投资自己。

最后想说

毫无疑问,这是我写过最喜欢的一篇文章。

我真心希望它对你有价值。

我写的每一个观点,都来自真实的经历、与人脉圈里真实的人交流,以及我在 AI 领域深耕两年多的真实观察。每一个字都是我亲自写的(没有 AI 垃圾内容),我只发布那些我愿意拿自己的钱去押注的东西。

如果这就是你希望在信息流里看到的内容风格,记得关注我 @aiedge_——我每周会发布 3 篇像这样的 AI 文章。

我也很好奇——未来你希望我写哪些 AI 主题?我会看每一条评论,所以把你的建议写在下面吧。

最后,如果方便的话,请点赞/转发这篇文章,让更多人看到它💙

If you're not actively thinking about how to invest in the best technological advancement ever built, you're destined to lose.

如果你没有主动思考该如何投资于人类迄今为止最伟大的技术进步,那么你注定会输。

Every decade or so, the world gets a gold rush moment.

大约每十年,世界都会迎来一次“淘金热”时刻。

The internet in the 90s created tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Apple from nothing and quietly made millionaires out of the engineers, investors, and early believers.

90 年代的互联网从无到有地催生了谷歌、亚马逊、苹果这样的科技巨头,也悄悄把工程师、投资人和早期信徒变成了百万富翁。

Mobile adoption in the early 2000s led to the rise of social platforms like Facebook, creating an entirely new digital marketing economy.

2000 年代初的移动端普及推动了 Facebook 等社交平台崛起,进而催生了一个全新的数字营销经济。

Crypto in the 2010s created a new asset class and a new generation of young, rich millionaires.

2010 年代的加密货币创造了一个新的资产类别,也造就了一代年轻而富有的百万富翁。

Each of these moments created two distinct groups of people:

每一次这样的时刻,都会把人分成两类:

  1. Those who saw it coming and inherited a new wave of wealth
  1. 那些提前看见趋势、迎来新一波财富的人
  1. Those who were left saying, "I knew about it. I just never did anything."
  1. 那些事后只剩下说:“我知道这件事。我只是从来没做过任何行动。”的人

If you've been in the latter camp for every single one of those moments, it genuinely doesn't matter, because what's sitting in front of you right now is bigger than all of them combined.

如果在上述每一次时刻里你都属于后者,这真的无关紧要,因为此刻摆在你面前的东西,比它们加起来还要大。

The AI gold rush is underway, and trillions are flowing through; there's no question about that.

AI 的淘金热已经开启,数万亿美元正在其中流动;这一点毋庸置疑。

The real question is - what are you going to do about it?

真正的问题是——你打算怎么做?

In today's article, I'm going to share my thoughts on how the average person can capitalize on and invest in the AI gold rush.

在今天这篇文章里,我会分享我对普通人如何把握并投资这场 AI 淘金热的思考。

This is comprehensive and detailed - you'll want to bookmark this so you don't lose it.

内容会很全面、很细致——你会想把它收藏起来,免得找不到。

Important notes before we get started: READ THIS

开始前的重要说明请务必阅读

  • *I'm not a financial advisor, and everything here is for educational purposes only. *
  • 我不是理财顾问,这里的一切内容仅用于教育目的。
  • I'm going to limit listing specific companies and specific stock/ETF tickers; however, I may mention companies as examples. Note that if I mention a company, I may or may not own it (i.e., if I say NVIDIA is an example of a pick-and-shovel play," I may own the company mentioned)
  • 我会尽量避免列出具体公司以及具体股票/ETF 代码;不过,我可能会用公司来举例。请注意:如果我提到某家公司,我可能持有也可能不持有(例如,如果我说 NVIDIA 是“卖铲子”式投资的一个例子,我可能持有我提到的那家公司)
  • *I am not here to shill or sell you anything, and everything here is my opinion only. *
  • 我不是来带货或向你推销任何东西的,这里的一切仅代表我的个人观点。

**The final section of this article is the one investment that requires zero capital and delivers the highest return of anything on this list. - stick around for it. **

本文最后一节会讲到一项不需要任何本金、却能带来本清单最高回报的投资——一定要看到最后。

Pick-and-Shovels

卖铲子(Pick-and-Shovels)

During the original gold rush, the people who got incredibly rich were not the miners. They were the ones selling the picks, shovels, and the supplies miners needed.

在最初的淘金热里,真正赚得盆满钵满的不是矿工,而是那些向矿工出售镐子、铁锹和各种补给的人。

The miners took on all the risk, and the suppliers benefited regardless of who actually found gold, who got rich, or who went bankrupt.

矿工承担了全部风险,而供货商不管谁真的挖到金子、谁发财、谁破产,都能获利。

The same logic applies to AI.

同样的逻辑也适用于 AI。

Pick-and-shovel companies are the businesses that make money every time AI grows - regardless of which AI model wins, which startup succeeds, or which product takes off.

所谓“卖铲子”公司,是指每当 AI 发展壮大就能赚钱的生意——不管最终是哪一个 AI 模型胜出、哪家创业公司成功、哪款产品爆发。

The most obvious example is NVIDIA. We all know how crazy their company growth has been over the past five years (+1300% stock price).

最明显的例子就是 NVIDIA。过去五年里,它的增长有多夸张大家都看得到(股价 +1300%)。

They didn't win because ChatGPT became the #1 AI on the app store.

他们的胜利并不是因为 ChatGPT 在应用商店里成了排名第一的 AI。

They won because OpenAI, Anthropic, and hundreds of other AI companies NEEDED their infrastructure.

他们之所以赢,是因为 OpenAI、Anthropic 以及数百家其他 AI 公司都需要他们的基础设施。

I want to build targeted ETF exposure to the AI investment opportunity. Here is my context:
Location and market: [your country]
Risk tolerance: [low / medium / high]
Investment horizon: [X years]
Monthly investment budget: [amount]
Current portfolio: [brief description — e.g. "mostly S&P 500 index funds"]
Based on this, recommend ETFs across these five categories:
1. Broad AI & Technology
2. Semiconductors & Chips
3. Robotics & Automation
4. Cybersecurity
5. Clean Energy & Grid Infrastructure
For each recommendation provide:
— Fund name and ticker
— Top 5 holdings
— Expense ratio
— Where it sits on the pick and shovel to second order spectrum
— Any overlap with other funds on this list
— A one sentence explanation of why it fits my specific situation
Flag any funds that are more marketing than substance — heavy on the AI buzzword but light on genuine AI revenue exposure. I want real exposure, not themed packaging.
I want to build targeted ETF exposure to the AI investment opportunity. Here is my context:
Location and market: [your country]
Risk tolerance: [low / medium / high]
Investment horizon: [X years]
Monthly investment budget: [amount]
Current portfolio: [brief description — e.g. "mostly S&P 500 index funds"]
Based on this, recommend ETFs across these five categories:
1. Broad AI & Technology
2. Semiconductors & Chips
3. Robotics & Automation
4. Cybersecurity
5. Clean Energy & Grid Infrastructure
For each recommendation provide:
— Fund name and ticker
— Top 5 holdings
— Expense ratio
— Where it sits on the pick and shovel to second order spectrum
— Any overlap with other funds on this list
— A one sentence explanation of why it fits my specific situation
Flag any funds that are more marketing than substance — heavy on the AI buzzword but light on genuine AI revenue exposure. I want real exposure, not themed packaging.

In other words, pick-and-shovel companies don't rely on outcomes or success rates.

换句话说,“卖铲子”公司不依赖于 结果成功率

These pick-and-shovel businesses are where I think everyone should be researching.

我认为每个人都应该把研究重点放在这些“卖铲子”式的生意上。

Many of you own the S&P500, and if you do, you already have exposure to many pick-and-shovel companies.

你们很多人持有标普 500,如果是这样,你其实已经间接持有了不少“卖铲子”公司。

Here are some P&S industries worth researching:

以下是一些值得研究的“卖铲子”行业:

One more pick-and-shovel angle worth researching: **raw metals. **

另一个值得研究的“卖铲子”角度:原材料金属。

Metals like Copper and Aluminum are essential in manufacturing physical AI infrastructure.

像铜、铝这样的金属,对于制造实体的 AI 基础设施至关重要。

Second-Order Beneficiaries

二阶受益者

Pick-and-shovel investments are the most direct way to invest in AI infrastructure, but there is a second layer of opportunity that most people overlook entirely.

“卖铲子”投资是参与 AI 基础设施最直接的方式,但还有第二层机会,大多数人完全忽略了它。

Second-order beneficiaries are companies that do not sell AI infrastructure directly but whose businesses grow significantly as AI adoption spreads and customers gain real ROI.

二阶受益者是指那些不直接出售 AI 基础设施、但会随着 AI 渗透扩散、客户获得真实 ROI 而显著增长的公司。

The key distinction is timing:

关键区别在于时间点:

Pick-and-shovel companies win as AI is built, while second-order beneficiaries win as AI gets used.

“卖铲子”公司在 AI 被搭建时获胜,而二阶受益者在 AI 被使用时获胜。

Think of it this way: when electricity was invented, the obvious picks-and-shovels were power companies and copper-wire manufacturers.

可以这样理解:当电力被发明时,最显而易见的“卖铲子”是发电公司和铜线制造商。

But the second-order winners were the factories, appliance makers, and retail businesses that could suddenly operate at a scale previously impossible.

但真正的二阶赢家,是那些工厂、家电制造商、零售企业——它们突然能够以此前不可能的规模运转。

Now, you have to understand this.

现在,你必须理解这一点。

There can be overlap between pick-and-shovel companies and second-order beneficiaries.

“卖铲子”公司与二阶受益者之间可能会有重叠。

For example, a company like Google relies on Gemini AI adoption to grow advertising revenue and cloud market share, but also builds the underlying AI infrastructure that others run on. It is both a tool supplier and a downstream beneficiary.

例如,像 Google 这样的公司,一方面依赖 Gemini AI 的采用来提升广告收入和云业务市占率;另一方面也在搭建其他人运行其上的底层 AI 基础设施。它既是工具供应商,也是下游受益者。

So, instead of thinking of pick-and-shovels and second-order beneficiaries as two distinct "investment buckets," think of it more like a spectrum.

因此,不要把“卖铲子”和二阶受益者当作两个截然分开的“投资桶”,更应该把它看作一个光谱。

The one question to ask yourself:

你只需要问自己一个问题:

"Does this company make more money because AI is being built OR because AI is being used?"

“这家公司赚更多的钱,是因为 AI 正在被建设,还是因为 AI 正在被使用?”

Second-order beneficiary sectors to research further:

值得进一步研究的二阶受益者赛道:

Targeted Exposure

定向敞口

Ok, so you understand the two investment buckets and the AI spectrum between the two.

好,现在你已经理解了这两个投资桶,以及它们之间的 AI 光谱。

Now, I'm going to cover the broad investment vehicles that you can use to get targeted exposure to these industries - deeper than just the S&P 500.

接下来,我会介绍一些更广泛的投资载体,让你能对这些行业获得更定向的敞口——比只买标普 500 更深入。

ETFs

ETF

Not everyone wants to pick individual stocks. And honestly, most people don't need to.

不是每个人都想选个股。老实说,大多数人也没必要。

ETFs (exchange-traded funds) give you diversified exposure to an industry or sector without having to research and pick individual companies yourself.

ETF(交易型开放式指数基金)能让你在不必自己研究并挑选具体公司的情况下,分散地暴露在某个行业或板块上。

You buy one asset and get exposure to several companies across the entire industry.

你买入一项资产,就能获得对整个行业内多家公司的敞口。

For example, a Robotics & Automation ETF will hold companies across industrial automation, humanoid robotics, and AI-powered manufacturing.

例如,一只机器人与自动化 ETF 可能会持有工业自动化、人形机器人以及 AI 驱动制造等领域的公司。

Without recommending specific tickers, you can use this prompt in any LLM to source ETFs you may be interested in.

在不推荐具体代码的前提下,你可以把下面这段提示词丢给任何 LLM,让它帮你找你可能感兴趣的 ETF。

All you have to do is tell it which market you're in [US/UK/AU/Other] and give a list of industries you'd like ETFs for (you can use the ones I mentioned earlier).

你只需要告诉它你所在的市场 [US/UK/AU/Other],再给出你想要配置 ETF 的行业清单(可以用我前面提到的那些)。

What comes back is a personalised ETF shortlist tailored to your situation.

它会返回一份根据你情况定制的 ETF 候选清单。

I like Perplexity Finance and Claude (extended thinking) as financial research tools.

我很喜欢把 Perplexity Finance 和 Claude(extended thinking)当作金融研究工具。

High Risk Exposure & Asymmetric Bets

高风险敞口与非对称押注

Everything covered so far has been on the relatively safer end of the AI investment spectrum. ETFs, pick-and-shovel blue chips, second-order beneficiaries - these are all measured, diversified ways to get exposure.

到目前为止,我们讲的都处在 AI 投资光谱里相对更稳健的一端:ETF、“卖铲子”的蓝筹、二阶受益者——这些都是更克制、更分散的参与方式。

This section is different.

这一节不一样。

Just so we're on the same page, by High Risk Exposure & Asymmetric Bets, I specifically mean investment vehicles where it's a realistic scenario for your money to 10x or go to zero.

为避免误会,我这里说的“高风险敞口与非对称押注”,特指那种你的资金现实中可能 10 倍,也可能归零的投资载体。

Of course, nothing is "safe" in investing, and the other categories could absolutely pump 10x or send to zero as well.

当然,投资里没有什么是“安全”的,其他类别也完全可能涨 10 倍,或者跌到归零。

With that said, here are the four high-risk categories worth understanding:

话虽如此,以下是四个值得理解的高风险类别:

  1. Crypto x AI
  1. 加密 x AI

AI and crypto are converging faster than most people realise. AI agent tokens, decentralised compute networks, and blockchain infrastructure projects being built specifically for AI workloads are all emerging categories.

AI 与加密货币的融合速度比大多数人想象的更快。AI agent 代币、去中心化算力网络,以及专为 AI 工作负载构建的区块链基础设施项目,都是正在出现的新类别。

If you follow me @milesdeutscher, you'll know I've posted many threads on this sector over the past two years.

如果你关注我 @milesdeutscher,你就会知道过去两年我在这个赛道发过很多 thread。

Some Crypto x AI industries worth researching:

一些值得研究的 Crypto x AI 方向:

2. Individual Stocks

2. 个股

Picking individual AI companies, particularly smaller-cap names outside the obvious giants, carries significant concentration risk. One bad earnings report, one regulatory change, or one better-funded competitor can wipe out a position. The upside is very direct, but all your chips are on one horse.

挑选单个 AI 公司,尤其是那些不在巨头名单里的小市值标的,会带来很高的集中度风险。一份糟糕的财报、一次监管变化,或一个资金更充足的竞争对手,都可能让你的仓位被打穿。上行空间很直接,但你等于把筹码都压在一匹马上。

Research and act accordingly.

研究清楚,再据此行动。

3. Early Stage Startups

3. 早期初创公司

The highest risk and highest potential reward on this entire list. AI startups are being funded at a pace not seen since the dot-com era. Most will fail. A small number will become the next NVIDIA or OpenAI.

这份清单里风险最高、潜在回报也最高的一类。AI 初创公司的融资速度,已经到了自互联网泡沫时代以来前所未见的程度。绝大多数会失败,只有极少数会成为下一个 NVIDIA 或 OpenAI。

If this betting style interests you, you can prompt an LLM to tell you how to invest in early-stage startups (many platforms allow you to do this).

如果你对这种下注风格感兴趣,你可以让 LLM 告诉你如何投资早期初创公司(很多平台都允许这样做)。

4. Venture Capital Funds

4. 风险投资基金

Lastly, if you have the capital and accreditation, AI-focused VC funds offer diversified exposure to a portfolio of early-stage bets, with professional deal selection - less risk than picking individual startups yourself, but still significantly higher than any ETF or public-market investment.

最后,如果你有资金并具备相应资质,聚焦 AI 的 VC 基金可以让你分散地暴露在一篮子早期押注上,同时由专业团队筛选项目——风险比你自己挑单个初创公司低,但仍显著高于任何 ETF 或公开市场投资。

The Highest ROI Investment: Your Career & Skillset

最高 ROI 的投资:你的职业与技能

Every investment category covered so far requires capital.

到目前为止讲的每一种投资类别都需要本金。

This one doesn't.

但这一项不需要。

The single highest return on investment available to most people right now is not a stock, an ETF, or a crypto token.

当下对大多数人而言,回报率最高的一项投资,并不是股票、ETF 或加密代币。

It is the decision to build AI skills that the market is desperately willing to pay for.

而是决定去构建市场迫切愿意为之付费的 AI 技能。

I have watched people in my personal network go from average salaries to six-figure freelance incomes in under twelve months, and your income is your most powerful wealth-building tool.

我亲眼见过身边的人在不到 12 个月里,从普通薪资跃迁到六位数的自由职业收入,而你的收入本身就是最强大的财富增长工具。

And unlike every other investment on this list, the downside is zero. You cannot lose the skills you build.

而且和这份清单里的其他任何投资不同,它的下行空间是零:你不会失去你所建立的技能。

Here is how I think about the ROI comparison:

我会这样比较 ROI:

A $10,000 investment in an AI ETF might return 15-20% annually if the thesis plays out. That is $1,500 to $2,000 in year one.

如果逻辑成立,向 AI ETF 投入 10,000 美元也许能带来每年 15%–20% 的回报,也就是第一年 1,500 到 2,000 美元。

A $10,000 investment in AI education, tools, or mentors could genuinely return $50,000 to $100,000 in year one if you package and sell those skills correctly.

而向 AI 教育、工具或导师投入 10,000 美元,如果你能把技能打包并正确地售卖,第一年完全可能带来 50,000 到 100,000 美元的回报。

"That sounds great. But, which skills do I actually build?"

“听起来很棒。但我到底要构建哪些技能?”

Glad you asked; that's exactly why I wrote this:

问得好——这正是我写这篇文章的原因:

You need to answer three questions to capitalize on the AI gold rush:

要把握这场 AI 淘金热,你需要回答三个问题:

  1. What AI-powered income streams can I build outside of my 9-5? (covered in my AI skills article above)
  1. 我能在我的 9-5 之外构建哪些由 AI 驱动的收入来源?(我在上面那篇 AI 技能文章里已经覆盖)

2. How do I position myself inside the AI industry - the right people, communities, and networks to be around? (something I cover constantly here @aiedge_)

2. 我该如何在 AI 行业中定位自己——去接近正确的人、社区与人脉网络?(这也是我在这里 @aiedge_ 经常反复讲的)

3. How do I use AI to become the most valuable person in my current role so I'm irreplaceable? (exactly what I'm covering in my article next Friday)

3. 我该如何用 AI 让自己在当前岗位上成为最有价值、不可替代的人?(这正是我下周五那篇文章要讲的内容)

Invest in the market, but always invest in yourself first.

投资市场,但永远先投资自己。

Final Thoughts

最后想说

This is hands down my favorite article I've ever written.

毫无疑问,这是我写过最喜欢的一篇文章。

I really hope you found it valuable.

我真心希望它对你有价值。

Everything I write about comes from real experience, real conversations with people in my network, and real observations from being deep in the AI space for over two years. I write every word myself (no AI slop), and I only publish things I would stake my own money on.

我写的每一个观点,都来自真实的经历、与人脉圈里真实的人交流,以及我在 AI 领域深耕两年多的真实观察。每一个字都是我亲自写的(没有 AI 垃圾内容),我只发布那些我愿意拿自己的钱去押注的东西。

If that's the style of content you want on your feed, be sure to follow me @aiedge_ - I'm posting AI articles just like this 3x/week.

如果这就是你希望在信息流里看到的内容风格,记得关注我 @aiedge_——我每周会发布 3 篇像这样的 AI 文章。

I'm curious - what AI topics do you want me to cover in the future? I read every comment, so leave suggestions down below.

我也很好奇——未来你希望我写哪些 AI 主题?我会看每一条评论,所以把你的建议写在下面吧。

Lastly, if you could, please Like/Repost this article so others can see it💙

最后,如果方便的话,请点赞/转发这篇文章,让更多人看到它💙

If you're not actively thinking about how to invest in the best technological advancement ever built, you're destined to lose.

Every decade or so, the world gets a gold rush moment.

The internet in the 90s created tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Apple from nothing and quietly made millionaires out of the engineers, investors, and early believers.

Mobile adoption in the early 2000s led to the rise of social platforms like Facebook, creating an entirely new digital marketing economy.

Crypto in the 2010s created a new asset class and a new generation of young, rich millionaires.

Each of these moments created two distinct groups of people:

  1. Those who saw it coming and inherited a new wave of wealth

  2. Those who were left saying, "I knew about it. I just never did anything."

If you've been in the latter camp for every single one of those moments, it genuinely doesn't matter, because what's sitting in front of you right now is bigger than all of them combined.

The AI gold rush is underway, and trillions are flowing through; there's no question about that.

The real question is - what are you going to do about it?

In today's article, I'm going to share my thoughts on how the average person can capitalize on and invest in the AI gold rush.

This is comprehensive and detailed - you'll want to bookmark this so you don't lose it.

Important notes before we get started: READ THIS

  • *I'm not a financial advisor, and everything here is for educational purposes only. *

  • I'm going to limit listing specific companies and specific stock/ETF tickers; however, I may mention companies as examples. Note that if I mention a company, I may or may not own it (i.e., if I say NVIDIA is an example of a pick-and-shovel play," I may own the company mentioned)

  • *I am not here to shill or sell you anything, and everything here is my opinion only. *

**The final section of this article is the one investment that requires zero capital and delivers the highest return of anything on this list. - stick around for it. **

Pick-and-Shovels

During the original gold rush, the people who got incredibly rich were not the miners. They were the ones selling the picks, shovels, and the supplies miners needed.

The miners took on all the risk, and the suppliers benefited regardless of who actually found gold, who got rich, or who went bankrupt.

The same logic applies to AI.

Pick-and-shovel companies are the businesses that make money every time AI grows - regardless of which AI model wins, which startup succeeds, or which product takes off.

The most obvious example is NVIDIA. We all know how crazy their company growth has been over the past five years (+1300% stock price).

They didn't win because ChatGPT became the #1 AI on the app store.

They won because OpenAI, Anthropic, and hundreds of other AI companies NEEDED their infrastructure.

I want to build targeted ETF exposure to the AI investment opportunity. Here is my context:
Location and market: [your country]
Risk tolerance: [low / medium / high]
Investment horizon: [X years]
Monthly investment budget: [amount]
Current portfolio: [brief description — e.g. "mostly S&P 500 index funds"]
Based on this, recommend ETFs across these five categories:
1. Broad AI & Technology
2. Semiconductors & Chips
3. Robotics & Automation
4. Cybersecurity
5. Clean Energy & Grid Infrastructure
For each recommendation provide:
— Fund name and ticker
— Top 5 holdings
— Expense ratio
— Where it sits on the pick and shovel to second order spectrum
— Any overlap with other funds on this list
— A one sentence explanation of why it fits my specific situation
Flag any funds that are more marketing than substance — heavy on the AI buzzword but light on genuine AI revenue exposure. I want real exposure, not themed packaging.

In other words, pick-and-shovel companies don't rely on outcomes or success rates.

These pick-and-shovel businesses are where I think everyone should be researching.

Many of you own the S&P500, and if you do, you already have exposure to many pick-and-shovel companies.

Here are some P&S industries worth researching:

One more pick-and-shovel angle worth researching: **raw metals. **

Metals like Copper and Aluminum are essential in manufacturing physical AI infrastructure.

Second-Order Beneficiaries

Pick-and-shovel investments are the most direct way to invest in AI infrastructure, but there is a second layer of opportunity that most people overlook entirely.

Second-order beneficiaries are companies that do not sell AI infrastructure directly but whose businesses grow significantly as AI adoption spreads and customers gain real ROI.

The key distinction is timing:

Pick-and-shovel companies win as AI is built, while second-order beneficiaries win as AI gets used.

Think of it this way: when electricity was invented, the obvious picks-and-shovels were power companies and copper-wire manufacturers.

But the second-order winners were the factories, appliance makers, and retail businesses that could suddenly operate at a scale previously impossible.

Now, you have to understand this.

There can be overlap between pick-and-shovel companies and second-order beneficiaries.

For example, a company like Google relies on Gemini AI adoption to grow advertising revenue and cloud market share, but also builds the underlying AI infrastructure that others run on. It is both a tool supplier and a downstream beneficiary.

So, instead of thinking of pick-and-shovels and second-order beneficiaries as two distinct "investment buckets," think of it more like a spectrum.

The one question to ask yourself:

"Does this company make more money because AI is being built OR because AI is being used?"

Second-order beneficiary sectors to research further:

Targeted Exposure

Ok, so you understand the two investment buckets and the AI spectrum between the two.

Now, I'm going to cover the broad investment vehicles that you can use to get targeted exposure to these industries - deeper than just the S&P 500.

ETFs

Not everyone wants to pick individual stocks. And honestly, most people don't need to.

ETFs (exchange-traded funds) give you diversified exposure to an industry or sector without having to research and pick individual companies yourself.

You buy one asset and get exposure to several companies across the entire industry.

For example, a Robotics & Automation ETF will hold companies across industrial automation, humanoid robotics, and AI-powered manufacturing.

Without recommending specific tickers, you can use this prompt in any LLM to source ETFs you may be interested in.

All you have to do is tell it which market you're in [US/UK/AU/Other] and give a list of industries you'd like ETFs for (you can use the ones I mentioned earlier).

What comes back is a personalised ETF shortlist tailored to your situation.

I like Perplexity Finance and Claude (extended thinking) as financial research tools.

High Risk Exposure & Asymmetric Bets

Everything covered so far has been on the relatively safer end of the AI investment spectrum. ETFs, pick-and-shovel blue chips, second-order beneficiaries - these are all measured, diversified ways to get exposure.

This section is different.

Just so we're on the same page, by High Risk Exposure & Asymmetric Bets, I specifically mean investment vehicles where it's a realistic scenario for your money to 10x or go to zero.

Of course, nothing is "safe" in investing, and the other categories could absolutely pump 10x or send to zero as well.

With that said, here are the four high-risk categories worth understanding:

  1. Crypto x AI

AI and crypto are converging faster than most people realise. AI agent tokens, decentralised compute networks, and blockchain infrastructure projects being built specifically for AI workloads are all emerging categories.

If you follow me @milesdeutscher, you'll know I've posted many threads on this sector over the past two years.

Some Crypto x AI industries worth researching:

2. Individual Stocks

Picking individual AI companies, particularly smaller-cap names outside the obvious giants, carries significant concentration risk. One bad earnings report, one regulatory change, or one better-funded competitor can wipe out a position. The upside is very direct, but all your chips are on one horse.

Research and act accordingly.

3. Early Stage Startups

The highest risk and highest potential reward on this entire list. AI startups are being funded at a pace not seen since the dot-com era. Most will fail. A small number will become the next NVIDIA or OpenAI.

If this betting style interests you, you can prompt an LLM to tell you how to invest in early-stage startups (many platforms allow you to do this).

4. Venture Capital Funds

Lastly, if you have the capital and accreditation, AI-focused VC funds offer diversified exposure to a portfolio of early-stage bets, with professional deal selection - less risk than picking individual startups yourself, but still significantly higher than any ETF or public-market investment.

The Highest ROI Investment: Your Career & Skillset

Every investment category covered so far requires capital.

This one doesn't.

The single highest return on investment available to most people right now is not a stock, an ETF, or a crypto token.

It is the decision to build AI skills that the market is desperately willing to pay for.

I have watched people in my personal network go from average salaries to six-figure freelance incomes in under twelve months, and your income is your most powerful wealth-building tool.

And unlike every other investment on this list, the downside is zero. You cannot lose the skills you build.

Here is how I think about the ROI comparison:

A $10,000 investment in an AI ETF might return 15-20% annually if the thesis plays out. That is $1,500 to $2,000 in year one.

A $10,000 investment in AI education, tools, or mentors could genuinely return $50,000 to $100,000 in year one if you package and sell those skills correctly.

"That sounds great. But, which skills do I actually build?"

Glad you asked; that's exactly why I wrote this:

You need to answer three questions to capitalize on the AI gold rush:

  1. What AI-powered income streams can I build outside of my 9-5? (covered in my AI skills article above)

2. How do I position myself inside the AI industry - the right people, communities, and networks to be around? (something I cover constantly here @aiedge_)

3. How do I use AI to become the most valuable person in my current role so I'm irreplaceable? (exactly what I'm covering in my article next Friday)

Invest in the market, but always invest in yourself first.

Final Thoughts

This is hands down my favorite article I've ever written.

I really hope you found it valuable.

Everything I write about comes from real experience, real conversations with people in my network, and real observations from being deep in the AI space for over two years. I write every word myself (no AI slop), and I only publish things I would stake my own money on.

If that's the style of content you want on your feed, be sure to follow me @aiedge_ - I'm posting AI articles just like this 3x/week.

I'm curious - what AI topics do you want me to cover in the future? I read every comment, so leave suggestions down below.

Lastly, if you could, please Like/Repost this article so others can see it💙

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